Under/Over Goal Betting Guide

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Betting on football does not always have to mean betting on the winner. Sometimes your research may reveal a trend that can be exploited by entering one of the many other markets available. One of the post popular bets amongst regular gamblers is the Under/Over Goal bet. This bet is attractive as it does not require you to predict who will win the match.

What is Under/Over Goal betting?

This market can also be displayed as ‘Total Goals Over/Under’ on certain betting and odds comparison portals. The basic principle is easy, you just need to predict whether there will over or under a certain amount of goal in a game. The bookmaker will offer prices based on different goal totals such as Over/Under 2.5 or Over/Under 3.5. You just need to predict if the game will finish with over or under the set figure. Bookmakers use half a goal in their calculations to ensure that all results fall above or below the betting line.

It does not matter which team scores the goals as long as the total combines figure is higher or lower than the chosen total.


  • Football Match: Real Madrid v Barcelona
  • Bet 1: Total goals Under 2.5
  • Bet 2: Total goals Over 2.5

If you predict there will be Under 2.5 goals in this game (Bet 1) then the following scores would win:

  • Winning scores: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 and 2-0

If you decided to back Over 2.5 goals (Bet 2) then all other score combinations would win.

Over/Under Goals Betting Tips

This type of bet is a great choice for punters who want to learn how to use statistics. In every league, there will be teams that excel in certain Total Goal categories. There will be teams that are often involved in high scoring games and others that compete in a high number of low scoring matches. The results can also be very different depending on whether a team is playing at home or away, so this should also be taken into consideration.

The trick is finding two well-matched teams that both have a high percentage of games in one particular scoring category. To begin with, you should try looking at one market in particular, and the Over 2.5 Goals market is a great place to start.

What To Look Out For

If you notice that 75% of Arsenal’s home games and 83.3% of Tottenham’s away games have ended with more than 2.5 goals, then you would certainly be tempted to back this outcome if they were playing each other in the next game. In fact any game where the home team and the away team have a combined total of 140% or more should be considered.

Of course, as well as finding high probability outcomes, you should also look for the best value bets by looking at leagues that the bookmaker may have overlooked, and by finding the possible best price by using an odds comparison websites.

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